Ukususela ngo-2021, imarike yaseYurophu iye yachaphazeleka ngokunyuka kwamaxabiso amandla, ixabiso lombane wokuhlala liye laphakama ngokukhawuleza, kwaye uqoqosho lokugcinwa kwamandla lubonakaliswe, kwaye imarike ikhula.Ukujonga emva kwi-2022, ingxabano phakathi kweRashiya ne-Ukraine iye yandisa ixhala lamandla.Iqhutywa yimvakalelo yonxunguphalo, imfuno yogcino lwamandla asekhaya iya kuqhubeka ikhula.Sijonge phambili ku-2023, inguqu yamandla ehlabathi yindlela eqhelekileyo, kwaye ukusetyenziswa kwamandla endlu yeyona ndlela iphambili.Ixabiso lehlabathi lombane lingene kumjelo okhulayo, uqoqosho lokugcinwa kwamandla ekhaya luye lwafezekiswa, kwaye indawo yemarike iya kuqhubeka ikhula kwixesha elizayo.
Ukujonga emva ngo-2022:
Ingxaki yamandla aseYurophu, ukukhula ngokukhawuleza kokugcinwa kwamandla endlu
Ininzi enkulu yokugcina amandla endlu isetyenziswe ngokubambisana ne-photovoltaics esasazwa ekhaya.Ngo-2015, umthamo omtsha wonyaka wogcino lwamandla wendlu ehlabathini wawumalunga nama-200MW kuphela.Ngo-2020, umthamo omtsha ofakiweyo wehlabathi ufikelele kwi-1.2GW, ukunyuka konyaka-ngonyaka ngama-30%.
Ngo-2021, imarike yaseYurophu iya kuchaphazeleka ngokunyuka kwamaxabiso amandla, kwaye ixabiso lombane kubahlali liya kunyuka ngokukhawuleza.Uqoqosho lokugcinwa kwamandla luya kubonakala, kwaye imarike iya kukhula.Ukuthatha iJamani njengomzekelo, iiseti ze-145,000 ze-photovoltaics zendlu zongezwa kwi-2021, kunye nomthamo ofakiweyo we-1.268GWh, ukunyuka konyaka-ngonyaka we-49%.
Umfanekiso: Umthamo omtsha ofakiweyo wogcino lwamandla endlu eJamani (MWh)
Umzobo: Ukongezwa okutsha kweenkqubo zokugcina amandla endlu eJamani (amakhaya angama-10,000)
Isizathu sokukhula ngokukhawuleza kokugcinwa kwamandla asekhaya eYurophu ngo-2022 kuvela kwimfuno yokuzimela kwamandla phantsi kweempembelelo zengxabano yaseRashiya-Ukraine kunye nokunyuka kwamaxabiso ombane kuye kwaphucula uqoqosho lokugcinwa kwamandla ekhaya.
Ukuxhomekeka okugqithisileyo kumandla angaphandle kuzise ingxaki yamandla, kwaye ingxabano phakathi kweRashiya ne-Ukraine iye yandisa ixhala lamandla.Ngokutsho kwe-"BP World Energy Statistical Yearbook", amandla efosili enza umlinganiselo ophezulu wesakhiwo samandla aseYurophu, kunye ne-akhawunti yegesi yendalo malunga ne-25%.Ngaphezu koko, igesi yendalo ixhomekeke kakhulu kumazwe angaphandle, kwaye malunga ne-80% ivela kwimibhobho ephuma kumazwe angaphandle kunye negesi yendalo engamanzi, apho imibhobho ephuma ngaphandle evela eRashiya Igesi yendalo ine-13 yebhiliyoni ye-cubic feet ngosuku, ibalwa kwi-29% yonikezelo lulonke.
Ngenxa yeengxabano ze-geopolitical, iRashiya iyekile ukubonelela ngegesi yendalo eYurophu, isoyikisa ukunikezelwa kwamandla eYurophu.Ukuze kuncitshiswe ukuxhomekeka kwamandla eRashiya kunye nokugcina ukhuseleko lwamandla, oorhulumente baseYurophu baye bazisa imigaqo-nkqubo yokuphuhlisa amandla acocekileyo kunye nokukhawulezisa isantya sokuguqulwa kwamandla ukuqinisekisa ukunikezelwa kwamandla.
Umzobo: Ulwakhiwo lokuSetyenziswa kwamandla aseYurophu
Isizathu sokukhula ngokukhawuleza kokugcinwa kwamandla asekhaya eYurophu ngo-2022 kuvela kwimfuno yokuzimela kwamandla phantsi kweempembelelo zengxabano yaseRashiya-Ukraine kunye nokunyuka kwamaxabiso ombane kuye kwaphucula uqoqosho lokugcinwa kwamandla ekhaya.
Ukuxhomekeka okugqithisileyo kumandla angaphandle kuzise ingxaki yamandla, kwaye ingxabano phakathi kweRashiya ne-Ukraine iye yandisa ixhala lamandla.Ngokutsho kwe-"BP World Energy Statistical Yearbook", amandla efosili enza umlinganiselo ophezulu wesakhiwo samandla aseYurophu, kunye ne-akhawunti yegesi yendalo malunga ne-25%.Ngaphezu koko, igesi yendalo ixhomekeke kakhulu kumazwe angaphandle, kwaye malunga ne-80% ivela kwimibhobho ephuma kumazwe angaphandle kunye negesi yendalo engamanzi, apho imibhobho ephuma ngaphandle evela eRashiya Igesi yendalo ine-13 yebhiliyoni ye-cubic feet ngosuku, ibalwa kwi-29% yonikezelo lulonke.
Ngenxa yeengxabano ze-geopolitical, iRashiya iyekile ukubonelela ngegesi yendalo eYurophu, isoyikisa ukunikezelwa kwamandla eYurophu.Ukuze kuncitshiswe ukuxhomekeka kwamandla eRashiya kunye nokugcina ukhuseleko lwamandla, oorhulumente baseYurophu baye bazisa imigaqo-nkqubo yokuphuhlisa amandla acocekileyo kunye nokukhawulezisa isantya sokuguqulwa kwamandla ukuqinisekisa ukunikezelwa kwamandla.
Umzobo: Ulwakhiwo lokuSetyenziswa kwamandla aseYurophu
Isizathu sokukhula ngokukhawuleza kokugcinwa kwamandla asekhaya eYurophu ngo-2022 kuvela kwimfuno yokuzimela kwamandla phantsi kweempembelelo zengxabano yaseRashiya-Ukraine kunye nokunyuka kwamaxabiso ombane kuye kwaphucula uqoqosho lokugcinwa kwamandla ekhaya.
Ukuxhomekeka okugqithisileyo kumandla angaphandle kuzise ingxaki yamandla, kwaye ingxabano phakathi kweRashiya ne-Ukraine iye yandisa ixhala lamandla.Ngokutsho kwe-"BP World Energy Statistical Yearbook", amandla efosili enza umlinganiselo ophezulu wesakhiwo samandla aseYurophu, kunye ne-akhawunti yegesi yendalo malunga ne-25%.Ngaphezu koko, igesi yendalo ixhomekeke kakhulu kumazwe angaphandle, kwaye malunga ne-80% ivela kwimibhobho ephuma kumazwe angaphandle kunye negesi yendalo engamanzi, apho imibhobho ephuma ngaphandle evela eRashiya Igesi yendalo ine-13 yebhiliyoni ye-cubic feet ngosuku, ibalwa kwi-29% yonikezelo lulonke.
Ngenxa yeengxabano ze-geopolitical, iRashiya iyekile ukubonelela ngegesi yendalo eYurophu, isoyikisa ukunikezelwa kwamandla eYurophu.Ukuze kuncitshiswe ukuxhomekeka kwamandla eRashiya kunye nokugcina ukhuseleko lwamandla, oorhulumente baseYurophu baye bazisa imigaqo-nkqubo yokuphuhlisa amandla acocekileyo kunye nokukhawulezisa isantya sokuguqulwa kwamandla ukuqinisekisa ukunikezelwa kwamandla.
Umzobo: Ulwakhiwo lokuSetyenziswa kwamandla aseYurophu
Amaxabiso ombane asetyenziswa kwihlabathi jikelele angena kumjelo okhulayo
Uqoqosho lokugcinwa kwamandla ekhaya lucacile
Amaxabiso ombane weendawo zokuhlala aqulunqwe ikakhulu ziindleko zamandla, iifizi zokufikelela kwigridi, kunye neerhafu ezinxulumeneyo kunye neentlawulo, apho iindleko zamandla (oko kukuthi, amaxabiso ombane okwigridi yezixhobo zombane) zibalwa kuphela kwi-1/3 yeendleko zombane wetheminali.Amaxabiso ombane anyukile kulo nyaka, nto leyo ekhokelele ekunyukeni kwamaxabiso ombane.
Amaxabiso ombane wokuhlala amkela indlela yokupakisha yonyaka, kwaye kukho ukudodobala okuthile ekuhanjisweni kwamaxabiso ombane, kodwa indlela yokunyuka kwamaxabiso ombane ibonakala ngokucacileyo.Okwangoku, ixabiso leyunithi yephakheji yombane yonyaka omnye kubahlali kwimarike yaseJamani inyuke malunga ne-0.7 euro / kwh.Iindleko eziphezulu zombane ziye zavuselela imfuno yabahlali ukuba bafezekise ukuzimela kwamandla kunye nokugcina amatyala ombane ngokufaka i-photovoltaic yasekhaya + iinkqubo zokugcina amandla.
Bala umthamo ofakiweyo we-photovoltaics esasazwayo ngokusekwe kwinani lemizi, qwalasela isantya sokungena kogcino lwamandla endlu ukufumana inani logcino lwamandla osapho olufakelweyo, kwaye ucingele umthamo ofakiweyo ofakiweyo kwikhaya ngalinye ukufumana umthamo ofakiweyo wogcino lwamandla osapho kwihlabathi nakwiimarike ezahlukeneyo.Siqikelela ukuba indawo yogcino lwamandla ombane wendlu yonke iya kufikelela kwi-57.66GWh ngo-2025, kunye nezinga lokukhula elihlanganisiweyo le-91% ukusuka kwi-2021 ukuya ku-2025. Phakathi kwabo, imarike yaseYurophu yeyona inkulu, kunye nomthamo omtsha ofakiweyo we-41.09GWh ngo-2025. , ngesantya sokukhula esihlanganisiweyo se-112%;Umthamo owongezelelweyo ofakelweyo wawuyi-7.90GWh, kunye nesantya sokukhula esixandileyo sama-71%.
Umzila wokugcina amandla wekhaya ubizwa ngokuba yi-golden track yishishini.Amandla okuqhuba angundoqo ekukhuleni okukhawulezayo kogcino lwamandla ezindlini luvela kwinto yokuba ugcino lwamandla omzi lunokuphucula ukusebenza kombane ozivelisela wona kunye nokunciphisa iindleko zoqoqosho.Iqhutywa kukunyuka kwamaxabiso ehlabathi kunye neengxabano ze-geopolitical kweminye imimandla, ugcino lwamandla osapho lwehlabathi lucinezele iqhosha lokuya phambili ngokukhawuleza kuphuhliso.
Ukuqhutyelwa yi-boom ephezulu yokugcina indlu yaseYurophu, abaninzi abavelisi baye bathululela kwishishini lokugcina amandla endlu, kwaye ezinye iinkampani ziye zazuza ngokupheleleyo ngokunyuka kweshishini lokugcina amandla endlu.Abo baxhamle kakhulu ngamashishini angena kwiinkqubo zokugcina amandla emizi, iibhetri, kunye ne-inverters ngaphambili, kwaye aphumelele ukukhula kwejometri ekusebenzeni.
Ixesha lokuposa: Nov-25-2022