Kusukela ngo-2021, imakethe yaseYurophu iye yathinteka ngenxa yokukhuphuka kwamanani kagesi, intengo kagesi wendawo yokuhlala ikhuphuke ngokushesha, futhi umnotho wokugcina amandla ubonakalisiwe, futhi imakethe iyakhula.Uma sibheka emuva ku-2022, ukungqubuzana phakathi kweRussia ne-Ukraine kukhulise ukukhathazeka kwamandla.Ngokuqhutshwa umuzwa wobunzima, isidingo sokugcinwa kwamandla ekhaya sizoqhubeka sikhula.Sibheke phambili ku-2023, ukuguqulwa kwamandla emhlabeni jikelele kuwumkhuba ojwayelekile, futhi ukuzisebenzisa kwamandla ekhaya kuyindlela eyinhloko.Intengo kagesi yomhlaba wonke ingene esiteshini esikhuphukayo, umnotho wesitoreji samandla sasekhaya usufezekile, futhi indawo yemakethe izoqhubeka nokukhula esikhathini esizayo.
Uma ubheka emuva ku-2022:
Inkinga yamandla aseYurophu, ukukhula okusheshayo kwesitoreji samandla sasendlini
Iningi lesitoreji samandla sasendlini sisetshenziswa ngokuhambisana nama-photovoltaics asatshalaliswe ekhaya.Ngonyaka wezi-2015, umthamo osanda kufakwa wonyaka wokugcina amandla wasendlini emhlabeni wonke wawungaba ngu-200MW kuphela.Ngo-2020, amandla amasha afakiwe emhlabeni wonke afinyelele ku-1.2GW, okuwukunyuka konyaka ngama-30%.
Ngo-2021, imakethe yaseYurophu izothinteka ngokukhuphuka kwamanani kagesi, futhi intengo kagesi kubahlali izokhuphuka ngokushesha.Umnotho wokugcinwa kwamandla uzobonakala, futhi imakethe izokhula.Uma sithatha iJalimane njengesibonelo, amasethi angu-145,000 ama-photovoltaics asendlini angezwe ngo-2021, anamandla afakiwe angu-1.268GWh, okuwukunyuka konyaka ngonyaka okungu-+49%.
Umfanekiso: Umthamo omusha ofakiwe wesitoreji samandla sasendlini eJalimane (MWh)
Umfanekiso: Izengezo ezintsha zamasistimu okugcina amandla asendlini eJalimane (imizi eyi-10,000)
Isizathu sokukhula ngokushesha kwesitoreji samandla sasendlini eYurophu ngo-2022 sivela esidingweni sokuzimela kwamandla ngaphansi kwethonya lengxabano yaseRussia-Ukraine futhi ukukhuphuka kwamanani kagesi kuye kwathuthukisa umnotho wesitoreji samandla sasendlini.
Ukuncika ngokweqile emandleni angaphandle kulethe inkinga yamandla, futhi ukungqubuzana phakathi kweRussia ne-Ukraine kuye kwandisa ukukhathazeka kwamandla.Ngokwe-“BP World Energy Statistical Yearbook”, amandla ezinto ezimbiwa phansi abangela ingxenye enkulu yesakhiwo samandla aseYurophu, futhi igesi yemvelo ibalelwa ku-25%.Ngaphezu kwalokho, igesi yemvelo incike kakhulu emazweni angaphandle, futhi cishe u-80% uvela kumapayipi angenisiwe kanye negesi yemvelo ewuketshezi, lapho amapayipi angenisiwe evela eRussia Igesi yemvelo inama-cubic feet ayizigidi eziyizinkulungwane ezingu-13 ngosuku, okwenza u-29% wesamba esiphelele.
Ngenxa yezingxabano zezwe, iRussia iyekile ukuhlinzeka ngegesi yemvelo eYurophu, okusongela ukutholakala kwamandla eYurophu.Ukuze kuncishiswe ukuncika kwamandla eRussia futhi kugcinwe ukuphepha kwamandla, ohulumeni baseYurophu bethule izinqubomgomo zokuthuthukisa amandla ahlanzekile kanye nokusheshisa ijubane lokuguqulwa kwamandla ukuze kuqinisekiswe ukutholakala kwamandla.
Umfanekiso: I-European Energy Consumption Structure
Isizathu sokukhula ngokushesha kwesitoreji samandla sasendlini eYurophu ngo-2022 sivela esidingweni sokuzimela kwamandla ngaphansi kwethonya lengxabano yaseRussia-Ukraine futhi ukukhuphuka kwamanani kagesi kuye kwathuthukisa umnotho wesitoreji samandla sasendlini.
Ukuncika ngokweqile emandleni angaphandle kulethe inkinga yamandla, futhi ukungqubuzana phakathi kweRussia ne-Ukraine kuye kwandisa ukukhathazeka kwamandla.Ngokwe-“BP World Energy Statistical Yearbook”, amandla ezinto ezimbiwa phansi abangela ingxenye enkulu yesakhiwo samandla aseYurophu, futhi igesi yemvelo ibalelwa ku-25%.Ngaphezu kwalokho, igesi yemvelo incike kakhulu emazweni angaphandle, futhi cishe u-80% uvela kumapayipi angenisiwe kanye negesi yemvelo ewuketshezi, lapho amapayipi angenisiwe evela eRussia Igesi yemvelo inama-cubic feet ayizigidi eziyizinkulungwane ezingu-13 ngosuku, okwenza u-29% wesamba esiphelele.
Ngenxa yezingxabano zezwe, iRussia iyekile ukuhlinzeka ngegesi yemvelo eYurophu, okusongela ukutholakala kwamandla eYurophu.Ukuze kuncishiswe ukuncika kwamandla eRussia futhi kugcinwe ukuphepha kwamandla, ohulumeni baseYurophu bethule izinqubomgomo zokuthuthukisa amandla ahlanzekile kanye nokusheshisa ijubane lokuguqulwa kwamandla ukuze kuqinisekiswe ukutholakala kwamandla.
Umfanekiso: I-European Energy Consumption Structure
Isizathu sokukhula ngokushesha kwesitoreji samandla sasendlini eYurophu ngo-2022 sivela esidingweni sokuzimela kwamandla ngaphansi kwethonya lengxabano yaseRussia-Ukraine futhi ukukhuphuka kwamanani kagesi kuye kwathuthukisa umnotho wesitoreji samandla sasendlini.
Ukuncika ngokweqile emandleni angaphandle kulethe inkinga yamandla, futhi ukungqubuzana phakathi kweRussia ne-Ukraine kuye kwandisa ukukhathazeka kwamandla.Ngokwe-“BP World Energy Statistical Yearbook”, amandla ezinto ezimbiwa phansi abangela ingxenye enkulu yesakhiwo samandla aseYurophu, futhi igesi yemvelo ibalelwa ku-25%.Ngaphezu kwalokho, igesi yemvelo incike kakhulu emazweni angaphandle, futhi cishe u-80% uvela kumapayipi angenisiwe kanye negesi yemvelo ewuketshezi, lapho amapayipi angenisiwe evela eRussia Igesi yemvelo inama-cubic feet ayizigidi eziyizinkulungwane ezingu-13 ngosuku, okwenza u-29% wesamba esiphelele.
Ngenxa yezingxabano zezwe, iRussia iyekile ukuhlinzeka ngegesi yemvelo eYurophu, okusongela ukutholakala kwamandla eYurophu.Ukuze kuncishiswe ukuncika kwamandla eRussia futhi kugcinwe ukuphepha kwamandla, ohulumeni baseYurophu bethule izinqubomgomo zokuthuthukisa amandla ahlanzekile kanye nokusheshisa ijubane lokuguqulwa kwamandla ukuze kuqinisekiswe ukutholakala kwamandla.
Umfanekiso: I-European Energy Consumption Structure
Izintengo zamandla okusetshenziswa komhlaba wonke zingena esiteshini esikhuphukayo
Umnotho wendawo yokugcina amandla ucacile
Izintengo zikagesi wezindawo zokuhlala ikakhulukazi zakhiwe izindleko zamandla, izimali zokufinyelela igridi, nezintela nezinkokhelo ezihlobene, okuyizindleko zamandla (okungukuthi, amanani kagesi otholakala kugridi yezikhungo zikagesi) ezibalela kuphela i-1/3 yezindleko zikagesi wetheminali.Amanani kagesi anyukile kulo nyaka, okuholele ekwenyukeni kwentengo kagesi.
Amanani kagesi wezindawo zokuhlala asebenzisa indlela yephakeji yonyaka, futhi kukhona ukwehla okuthile ekudlulisweni kwentengo kagesi, kodwa umkhuba wokunyuka kwentengo kagesi uyabonakala.Njengamanje, inani lentengo yeyunithi yephakeji kagesi yonyaka owodwa kubahlali basemakethe yaseJalimane ikhuphuke cishe kuma-euro angu-0.7/kwh.Izindleko eziphakeme zikagesi zikhuthaze isidingo sezakhamuzi zokuzuza ukuzimela kwamandla futhi zonge izikweletu zikagesi ngokufaka amasistimu okugcina amandla e-photovoltaic + yasendlini.
Bala umthamo ofakiwe wama-photovoltaics asabalalisiwe ngokusekelwe enanini lemizi, ucabangele izinga lokungena kwesitoreji samandla sasendlini ukuze uthole inani lesitoreji samandla sasekhaya esifakiwe, futhi uthathe isilinganiso somthamo ofakiwe womuzi ngamunye ukuze uthole umthamo ofakiwe wesitoreji samandla sasendlini emhlabeni nasezimakethe ezihlukahlukene.Sibikezela ukuthi indawo yamandla okugcina amandla ezindlini emhlabeni wonke izofinyelela ku-57.66GWh ngo-2025, ngezinga lokukhula elihlanganisiwe lika-91% kusukela ngo-2021 kuya ku-2025. Phakathi kwazo, imakethe yaseYurophu inkulu kakhulu, enamandla amasha afakiwe angu-41.09GWh ngo-2025. , ngezinga lokukhula elihlanganisiwe lika-112%;Umthamo owengeziwe ofakiwe ubungu-7.90GWh, nezinga lokukhula elihlanganisiwe lama-71%.
Ithrekhi yokugcina amandla yasendlini ibizwe nge-golden track yimboni.Umnyombo ogqugquzela ukukhula ngokushesha kwesitoreji samandla sasekhaya uvela eqinisweni lokuthi ukugcinwa kwamandla ekhaya kungathuthukisa ukusebenza kahle kukagesi ozikhiqizela wona futhi kunciphise izindleko zomnotho.Iqhutshwa ukwehla kwamandla emali emhlabeni wonke kanye nezingxabano zezwe kwezinye izifunda, isitoreji samandla sasekhaya somhlaba sicindezele inkinobho yokuya phambili ngokushesha ukuze kuthuthukiswe.
Beqhutshwa ukukhuphuka okuphezulu kwesitoreji sasendlini yaseYurophu, abakhiqizi abaningi baye bathululela embonini yokugcina amandla yasendlini, futhi ezinye izinkampani ziye zazuza ngokugcwele ekukhuphukeni kwemboni yokugcina amandla yasendlini.Labo abahlomule kakhulu amabhizinisi angene ezinhlelweni zokugcina amandla ezindlini, amabhethri, nama-inverter ngaphambili, futhi azuze ukukhula kwejometri ekusebenzeni.
Isikhathi sokuthumela: Nov-25-2022